{"id":4155,"date":"2022-07-29T05:53:15","date_gmt":"2022-07-29T05:53:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sasquatchnewsonline.com\/?p=4155"},"modified":"2022-07-29T05:53:15","modified_gmt":"2022-07-29T05:53:15","slug":"political-analyst-moves-more-house-races-to-gop-three-to-safe-republican","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sasquatchnewsonline.com\/?p=4155","title":{"rendered":"Political Analyst Moves More House Races To GOP \u2013 Three To \u2018Safe Republican\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 2022 midterms are looking better for Republicans with each passing week.<\/p>\n

Today, the analysts at Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball moved more House races toward Republicans with three becoming classified as \u2018safe Republican.\u2019<\/p>\n

Democrats and the media can\u2019t stop what\u2019s coming in November.<\/p>\n

From Sabato\u2019s site:<\/a><\/p>\n

House Rating Changes: More Movement Toward Republicans<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The race for the House<\/em><\/p>\n

It has been roughly a month since the U.S. Supreme Court\u2019s Dobbs vs. Jackson Women\u2019s Health Organization decision, which overruled past Supreme Court decisions recognizing a constitutional right to abortion.<\/em><\/p>\n

The decision has perhaps made some difference in the electoral environment, although likely only at the margins.<\/em><\/p>\n

House generic ballot polling, which is tracked by both the RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight trackers, is a bit closer now than it was the day of the Dobbs decision, June 24. The former has moved from a Republican lead of about 3.5 points to a GOP lead of about 2, and the latter from a GOP lead of about 2.5 to just about half a point.<\/em><\/p>\n

Some individual surveys, such as recent ones from Fox News and CNN, have shown Democrats and Republicans expressing roughly equally high motivation to vote, although other polls show a clear GOP motivation edge: The Marquette University Law School poll \u2014 known for its Wisconsin polls but polling nationally in this survey \u2014 found an 18-point edge for Republicans on being \u201cvery enthusiastic\u201d about voting (although the same survey only showed a narrow GOP edge on a question about certainty to vote).<\/em><\/p>\n

These motivation questions are important as we try to assess who will actually show up in November. Most generic ballot polls at the moment are only reporting results for registered voters, a larger universe of people than likely voters.<\/em><\/p>\n

The generic ballot also has a history of underestimating Republicans; to cite just one modern example, in late July 2014, Democrats actually led in the RealClearPolitics generic ballot average. That lead did not last, though, and Republicans went on to win 247 House seats, their biggest majority since the Great Depression.<\/em><\/p>\n

Big changes are coming.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A GOP gain somewhere in the 20s looks likely.<\/p>\n

Let the investigations begin! The business will be to purge commies, and business will be very, very good!<\/p>\n

] Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Ten House Ratings Changes, and All but One Favor GOP https:\/\/t.co\/s51Nx1uL81<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Junkyard Dogs (@baileyjer) July 29, 2022<\/a><\/p>\n\n

Things are going to look very different after November.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cross posted from American Lookout<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The post Political Analyst Moves More House Races To GOP \u2013 Three To \u2018Safe Republican\u2019<\/a> appeared first on The Gateway Pundit<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 2022 midterms are looking better for Republicans with each passing week. Today, the analysts at Sabato\u2019s Crystal<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nPolitical Analyst Moves More House Races To GOP \u2013 Three To \u2018Safe Republican\u2019 - Sasquatch News Online<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sasquatchnewsonline.com\/?p=4155\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Political Analyst Moves More House Races To GOP \u2013 Three To \u2018Safe Republican\u2019 - Sasquatch News Online\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The 2022 midterms are looking better for Republicans with each passing week. 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