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A migrant caravan of hundreds of people is moving north through southern Mexico toward the U.S. border, five weeks before the November 3 midterm elections. Republican lawmakers say the migrants are betting on a Democratic Congress taking power in November.
The caravan, called “Fe y Esperanza” (Faith and Hope), left San Pedro Sula, Honduras, on September 20. It entered Mexico four days later over the Rodolfo Robles bridge on the Suchiate River in Chiapas. About 200 people crossed without intervention from Mexico’s National Migration Institute (INM).
The group reached Tapachula with about 300 people and grew to more than 600 as migrants already in southern Mexico joined, according to EFE. Members come from Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Ecuador and Haiti.
As of September 29, the caravan was moving along the Chiapas coastal highway and had not yet entered Oaxaca. The planned route runs along the Pacific to central Mexico, then north toward Nuevo León or Tamaulipas. Most members say their goal is to reach Mexico’s northern border and cross into the United States, while some would stay in Mexico if they can get legal status and work.
Migrants interviewed by EFE gave personal reasons for joining. José Zelaya, from San Pedro Sula, told EFE he left with seven family members and wants to reach the United States to send money home. He said the group has no leaders beyond hunger and necessity.
Vinicio Obonaga, from Ecuador, said he joined in Tapachula after two months without a response to his refugee and humanitarian visa applications. A Guatemalan woman said she first planned to go to central Mexico, but switched to the United States after an attempted kidnapping.
Rep. Nancy Mace of South Carolina wrote on X that the migrants are “betting on a Democrat Congress in November.” The Post Millennial reported the caravan was heading north in anticipation of Democrats’ open-border policies. Migrants in an earlier caravan made the same link.
On August 19, Real America’s Voice correspondent Oscar Ramirez posted video of migrants in Tapachula who said they were waiting for Democrats to win control of Congress. One man said they were forming a caravan of 2,000 to 2,500 people to leave on August 20.
That caravan, “Sueños sin Fronteras,” left Tapachula on August 20 with just over 600 people, headed for Mexico City. AP reported on a Venezuelan family in the group that planned to stay in Mexico until President Donald Trump’s term ends, then decide whether to return to the United States.
Cuban migrants told EFE they wanted to wait for the end of the Trump administration before going to the United States. The caravan broke up in Arriaga, Chiapas, in early September with about half its members, after the INM offered transport to Tuxtla Gutiérrez.
DHS says Border Patrol is tracking the new caravan and coordinating with international partners. White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis told Newsweek the caravan “will not be allowed into our country.” The U.S. Embassy in Tegucigalpa wrote on September 21 that U.S. borders are closed to those who break the law.
In an interview with Laura Ingraham, White House border czar Tom Homan said caravan members will be turned away or detained, prosecuted and deported, possibly to a third country.
DHS reported 8,870 Border Patrol apprehensions on the Southwest border in August, 94 percent below the monthly average under the Biden administration, and zero releases for the 16th consecutive month.
Critics abroad, including European lawmakers, the UN, and rights groups, have decried U.S. immigration enforcement while ignoring the policies of Latin American governments that cause people to leave.
In January, the co-presidents of The Left group in the European Parliament asked the European Commission to bar ICE personnel from entering the EU ahead of the Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics. Italy’s Più Europa party staged a protest at the U.S. Embassy in Rome. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage said ICE had gone beyond its limit. None of these individuals or groups said a word about the socialism, corruption, and pro-crime, pro-cartel policies of Latin American governments that make those countries unlivable.
On September 7, UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk told the Human Rights Council that 23 people had died in U.S. immigration custody in 2026. He urged the United States to halt returns to places where people could suffer irreparable harm, including Haiti.
The UN was mistaken in claiming that 23 deaths in ICE custody was an unusually high number or that those who died did not receive adequate medical care. All who died of illnesses received care, and most were transported to hospitals. More than one million people have been arrested, held, and deported, making 23 a small, statistically normal number of deaths from illness and suicide.
ICE held between 65,000 and 70,000 people at a time during that period, putting the annualized death rate at about 48 to 52 per 100,000 detainees. That is below the 167 per 100,000 recorded in U.S. local jails in 2019 by the Bureau of Justice Statistics.
From January 2025 to May 2026, an AP review of ICE records found 10 suicides among 51 deaths in custody. That represents an annualized suicide rate of roughly 11 to 13 per 100,000 detainees, compared with the national suicide rate of 13.7 per 100,000.
The 51 deaths represent an annualized death rate of roughly 55 to 80 per 100,000 detainees, compared with the general-population death rate of 722.1 per 100,000 in 2024. Both ICE estimates are also below the rate of about 169 per 100,000 among Americans ages 25 to 44 that year.
DHS says all detainees receive comprehensive medical care from arrival, including medical appointments and 24-hour emergency care.
As for Haiti, people were admitted to the United States under temporary programs. Haiti was designated for Temporary Protected Status after the 2010 earthquake, and that designation remained in place for more than 15 years. At some point, temporary protection has to end.
Given the ongoing crises in Haiti and other countries, essentially their entire populations could continue to claim a need for asylum. Applied to every country in crisis, Türk’s standard of halting returns to places where people could suffer irreparable harm would require the United States to keep millions under temporary protection indefinitely.
Trump answered at the UN General Assembly on September 22, saying Christians are being persecuted all over the world. He said “the craven hypocrites of the Human Rights Council have little to say about the persecution of Christians… or the crimes of the world’s most repressive regimes, yet they want America to open our borders to gangs and criminals from the world’s most dangerous places.”
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